Question: Will Hawaii get its independence again or ever have its monarchy restored?
The key problem with restoring Hawaii to what it used to be is that there are relatively few true Hawaiians left on the islands.
Only 6.6% of the overall population is native Hawaiian, and 2.8% are from other Pacific islands. 21.4% of the population is "mixed race", but even if all of the mixed-race people identified themselves as Hawaiian (which is not the case) then a maximum of only 30.8% of the overall population might have a personal interest in returning to the monarchy. Of these, many would believe that Hawaii is better off as part of the United States; for example, tourism is greatly aided by the fact that U.S. citizens can travel to Hawaii without needing a passport or going through customs.
The largest group in modern Hawaii, 41.6% of the overall population, is Far Easterners: Japanese (16.7%), Filipinos (14.1%), Chinese (4.7%), Koreans, Vietnamese, and others.
Whites form the next largest group at 24.3%.
The Far Easterners, Whites, and other groups would have no personal stake in returning to monarchy. For them it would be a completely abstract exercise, and one that might cause them to lose status, legal rights, and wealth.
So how could monarchy be restored in Hawaii? Here are some ways:
1. Voting to separate from the union, like when Quebec almost voted to depart from Canada in 1995. But due to the demographics listed above, it's unlikely that enough of the current population would vote in favor of independence. Furthermore, there is no legal means by which a state can actually leave the United States. This was tried by a group of southern states and ended in the Civil War. Also keep in mind that on June 27, 1959, 94.3% of the population of Hawaii voted to join the United States.
2. Violent uprising. While there is no way Hawaiians could force a separation through military means, if enough Hawaiians wanted it badly enough they could create havoc through violence. The rest of the people of the United States might conclude that if the Hawaiians were so unhappy that they were sabotaging their own territory, then they'd be better off as an independent country. Similar strategies have lead to separation for India, Ireland, and Algeria in the past.
3. Partition of the islands. Any strategy for independence (like #1 and #2 above) might be partially resolved by assigning some of the Hawaiian Islands to native rule while leaving others as part of the U.S. (compare this to the division of Ireland into Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland). In the extreme case, this might include redistribution of the population along ethnic lines.
4. Change in demographics. Right now there are relatively few native Hawaiians on the islands. Something might happen in the future to cause natives to have many children while the non-natives have few children. Or the non-natives might decide to relocate for some reason (such as hostility from the natives). If somehow the population were to return to majority Hawaiian native then other solutions like #1 become more feasible.
5. Collapse of the United States. It is not impossible that the U.S. will collapse for economic or social reasons, or due to take over by a hostile foreign power like China. Under some collapse scenarios the people of Hawaii would be enslaved, wiped out, or relocated (consider what would have happened to Hawaii if Nazi Germany and the Empire of Japan had won World War II). However, if the U.S. were to peacefully break up into smaller countries then this might be the ideal scenario for an independent Hawaii.
This is very well written, however there are some points i disagree with.
1. America is NOT going to break up Hawai'i into smaller independent states because of money the USA is gaining from Hawai'ian Islands. Thats a poor excuse to bring back the monarchy because that simply will not work.
2. You mentioned that the people of Hawai'i voted 97% to keep the islands with the USA. Sounds like a complete exaggeration. Half the native Hawai'ians there are of royal ancestry. They know if that voting to have Hawai'i reinstate monarchy or independence nothing will be done. Any independent state that has been overthrown, or should i say stolen from native peoples - is taken back by one thing: war.
3. Hawai'i is habitated by Japanese because of WWII. It was the closest place they could be at that time. Couldn't come to the mainland because they would be dealing with what African Americans have encompassed: lynches, discrimination, and secondary targets of the KKK after African Americans being the first.
The next largest group are whites. Now, all throughout history, Europeans have befriended natives of almost every country, even marrying themselves into royal lines to eventually take over, have used advanced weaponry to take land by force knowing full well that many natives used bow and arrow or swords, gave diseased items as "peace gifts" and used The Gospel as an excuse to completely wipe out tribes they deem as "savage". The Europeans that was very peaceful were outnumbered by the cruel and greedy ones.
I have come to the conclusion was that the last monarch, Queen Liliʻuokalani, and her family pleaded to get their kingdom back which I believe no birthright should ever have to beg a foreign country for their own land being turned over to them. The annex of Hawai'i was done without counseltation of the royal family and that is really messed up.
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